3/18/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
This week’s economic swirl is a mix of surprise inflation, shaky housing data, and global uncertainty. Here are five insights to help you advise clients with confidence and convert conversations into closings.
1️⃣ Canada’s Inflation Surged — But It Might Be Temporary
Canada’s CPI jumped to
2.6%, far above the 2.2% forecast, jolting bond yields
+6 bps and putting rate cut optimism on ice — at least for now. The rise was largely due to the
expiration of GST/HST breaks, meaning the spike could be short-lived.
2️⃣ Tariffs Still Dominate the Macro Narrative
Despite hopeful diplomacy from Ontario Premier Ford, no real progress has been made with the U.S. on tariff reductions. The market remains wary, as
tariff uncertainty fuels inflation fears and drags on consumer confidence.
3️⃣ Variable vs Fixed: A Rate Showdown in Motion
The
insured 5-year fixed has dipped to as low as
3.99%, and
variable rates have edged below
4% for many clients. With the BoC policy rate at
2.75%, more cuts are expected — unless inflation persists.
4️⃣ Housing Market Softens, But Affordability Improves
February saw national home sales fall
9.8%, with GTA sales in March down
42% year-over-year. Yet median prices held firm and affordability (measured by GDS) hit its
best level since Jan 2021 at 36.1%.
5️⃣ Renewals Wave Building for 2026 — Start Planting Seeds Now
Nearly
200,000 mortgages are set to renew in
June 2026, likely the
biggest renewal month ever. 60% may renew at higher rates if market expectations hold, but many borrowers may not realize this yet.
💡 Final Thought:
This week’s mix of inflation surprises, market jitters, and a looming renewal wave creates a perfect opportunity for brokers to take the lead. Clients need clarity — you bring calm and strategy. Use every conversation to build trust, provide value, and stay one step ahead.
Let’s win the week!
📢
Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News or check our ABW Agent Intranet for full blog access.
Episode 33: Behind the Broker with Herjit Driver
Guest: Herjit Driver
Episode 33 features Herjit Driver, a Hall of Fame inductee at A Better Way Mortgage Group. It explores her unplanned start in 2007, resilience-driven success, mastery of industry changes, meticulous systems, and genuine client care—highlighted by a debt-crisis rescue story. Herjit shares insights on balancing life and business with intention, offering actionable tips for brokers and beyond. Available on Apple, Spotify, and YouTube.
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We look forward to helping you stay ahead of the market in 2025.
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