3/12/2025:
BoC Rate Cut to 2.75%: Opportunities for Homebuyers and Mortgage Brokers
Today, March 12, 2025, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced its seventh consecutive interest rate cut since June 2024, lowering the key overnight rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.75%. This brings the total reduction to 225bps since the loosening cycle began, a move widely anticipated by market analysts and signaled in prior statements (REW | The Guide, RMG Morning Bru). As detailed in our "Recap of Rate Changes" image, this follows a steady decline from 5.00% in early 2024, reflecting the BoC’s response to economic challenges.
Economic Context and Housing Market Impact
The BoC’s Governing Council highlighted stronger-than-expected Q4 2024 growth, driven by previous rate cuts, but cautioned that trade conflicts with the U.S. may slow progress (RMG Morning Bru, MLN Mortgage Memo). Rising U.S. tariffs and uncertainty have dampened consumer confidence and investment, potentially pushing home prices higher while stalling economic activity (REW | The Guide). Meanwhile, U.S. inflation eased to 2.8% in February 2025, below forecasts, with core inflation at 3.1%, influencing global yield trends (RMG Morning Bru).
In the housing market, Greater Vancouver faces a buyer’s market with record inventory—three times the norm—according to REW agent Ty Corsie. This rate cut could spur buying activity, though it risks flipping the market to a seller’s favor if demand surges (REW | The Guide). For now, softening prices are expected over the next six months due to excess supply outpacing buyer interest, even with lower rates.
Impact on Borrowers
What’s Next?
The next BoC meeting on April 16, 2025, coincides with potential tariff escalations, with a 47% chance of another 25bps cut if trade talks falter (MLN Mortgage Memo). Inflation, currently at 1.9% in Canada, and U.S. economic indicators will guide future decisions.
Opportunities for Mortgage Brokers
This rate cut presents a prime opportunity for mortgage brokers to strengthen client relationships and grow their business:
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