4/01/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
With volatility in markets, trade tensions brewing, and a potential policy pivot ahead, it’s prime time for brokers to inform, engage, and guide. Here’s your ABW weekly snapshot to stay sharp and client-ready:
1️⃣ Fixed Rates Near 3-Year Lows—It’s Time to Market Despite market chaos, fixed rates are holding at nearly 3-year lows and in some cases dipping below 4%. Dominion Lending Centres reports a 12% monthly spike in refinance volume in March, driven by sub-4% offers catching borrower attention.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Promote these fixed-rate levels aggressively to debt consolidators, renovators, HELOC users, and nervous buyers looking for rate stability. Reposition refinances not as "nice-to-haves" but as strategic moves in uncertain times.
2️⃣ Variable vs. Fixed in the Trade War Era—Which Way Now? With President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff wave looming April 2, the mortgage rate outlook remains deeply unpredictable. Experts like David Larock still favour variables long term, given BoC's likely path to 2% policy rates—but acknowledge fixed rates currently offer a lower entry point.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Present both options clearly. Offer clients tailored guidance based on their risk comfort, income stability, and timeline. Variable's long-term edge still exists, but fixed wins on current value and peace of mind.
3️⃣ Scotiabank: Brokers Drive 65% of Mortgage Volume Scotiabank confirmed that brokers are behind 65% of its originations—up from 40% just a few years ago—and 99% of these deals bundle in three or more products.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use this to your advantage with clients. Show how brokered deals aren't just competitive—they’re bank-preferred. It’s also a reminder to deepen your relationships: package more solutions, not just mortgages.
4️⃣ Tariffs Stir Inflation Fears—but Don’t Ignore the Bond Market Core PCE inflation in the U.S. just jumped to 2.8% (vs. 2.6% prior), raising fears of sticky inflation. However, Canadian bond yields dropped on recession fears tied to these same tariffs.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Educate clients that markets are caught between inflation fears and growth worries. Highlight that falling yields are still driving rate opportunities—especially in the 5-year fixed space.
5️⃣ April 16 BoC Meeting: What to Watch Markets now peg a 36% chance of a BoC rate cut on April 16, up from 27% last week. This follows mixed GDP data and softening yields, but inflation and retaliatory tariffs could change the game quickly.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Don’t wait—book strategy calls with variable-rate clients this week. A cut could shift payment trajectories fast, and clients will value foresight and planning before the media frenzy hits.
📢 Final Thought: Between market jitters, policy ambiguity, and shifting rate curves, this is a textbook moment for brokers to lead. Clarity and communication win deals. Use this week to engage early, explain often, and demonstrate your value beyond the rate.
Stay sharp, stay proactive—your clients need you more than ever.
📢
Stay Informed, Stay Ahead! These insights are drawn from trusted industry sources like Mortgage Logic News, RMG, and Integrated Mortgage Planners. Catch the full reports via your ABW Agent Intranet.
EPISODE 35: BEHIND THE LEGEND WITH JOHN WEBSTER
Guest: John Webster
Behind the Legend – John Webster (Ep. 35) Discover how a legal mind turned mortgage icon reshaped the industry. Leadership insights, innovation, and the future of lending—all in one powerful episode. Now streaming!
This is a choice-based resource. If you'd like to continue receiving these updates weekly, please register here:
Click here to subscribe to the ABW Tuesday Mortgage Memo
We look forward to helping you stay ahead of the market in 2025.
LANGLEY
20178 96 Ave C325, Langley, BC V1M 0B2
SURREY
#405-7327 137th Street, Surrey, BC V3W 1A4
ALBERTA
305 – 1822 10th Ave, SW Calgary, Alberta T3C 0J8
ONTARIO
94 Broadway, Orangeville, ON L9W 1J9
M-F: 9am – 5pm
S & S: Closed
©2025 Copyright | All Rights Reserved | A Better Way Mortgage Group